Did Innoviva's (NASDAQ:INVA) Share Price Deserve to Gain 20%?

In this article:

While Innoviva, Inc. (NASDAQ:INVA) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 20% in the last quarter. On the bright side the share price is up over the last half decade. Unfortunately its return of 20% is below the market return of 74%.

See our latest analysis for Innoviva

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the last half decade, Innoviva became profitable. That's generally thought to be a genuine positive, so we would expect to see an increasing share price. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. In fact, the Innoviva stock price is 13% lower in the last three years. In the same period, EPS is up 31% per year. It would appear there's a real mismatch between the increasing EPS and the share price, which has declined -5% a year for three years.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

It is of course excellent to see how Innoviva has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Innoviva stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Innoviva had a tough year, with a total loss of 11%, against a market gain of about 12%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Innoviva better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Innoviva you should know about.

We will like Innoviva better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

Advertisement